274w ago - Whispers on the wind suggest a 2011 release date for the neXt box. Moreover, Intel wants in on the action as well: According to the industry insiders close to the Inquirer, Intel is rumored to be pursuing Microsoft quite aggresively, with the intent of putting its upcoming Larrabee chip inside Microsoft's next XBOX console.
Yes, you read it right -- Microsoft's next-generation XBOX console -- already.
In a related development, AnandTech predicts that Microsoft is already planning for the next Xbox console -- let's call it the Xbox 720.
For a historical perspective on this timeframe, recall a Peter Moore interview -- March 2007, with the Electronics Gaming Monthly magazine. Back then Peter Moore was the head of Interactive Entertainment Business division for Microsoft (he is now gainfully employed by EA), he had indicated that the production team was already working on next-gen Xbox.
Fast forward to June 2008 when Robbie Bach, president of the entertainment and devices division at Microsoft also indirectly confirms that people were already working on new technologies.
As per the rumor yarn currently spinning, Microsoft will officially announce their next console come end of 2009. During the first quarter of 2010, Microsoft will finalize the components to be included in the console. Incidentally, the year 2010 happens to be a 'Tock' phase as per Intel's 'Tick Tock' model wherein Larrabee's refreshed version built on a 32nm process can be expected.
The first Larrabee version will be able to directly tap Microsoft's DirectX and Apple's Open CL API, without needing any special go-between software. This would imply that Larrabee will be compatible with all current games. However, new instruction sets such as the Advanced Vector Extensions for Intel's 32nm process chips 'Sandy Bridge'. Larrabee is also expected to have computing power in the teraflop range.
Furthermore, the next Xbox will feature HDMI output as well as WiFi but might not use the Blu-ray disc format for its game media; instead opting for a high-capacity proprietary optical disc format. This next-gen console will also be compatible with the Xbox 360 game line up and will come with 60GB, 120GB, and 200GB hard disk variants.
Even Xbox Live will get structural changes -- like an extensive music download service along with movies and TV shows. The next XBOX consoles in 60GB, 120GB and 200GB versions would be available for $299, $399, and $499. It will be released in 2011 where it might compete with the Sony PlayStation 4.
While all of this looks like so much speculation, it would be interesting to see if Intel does pursue Microsoft for adopting Larrabee. It would be a wise move on Intel's part as such a deal would instantly make the Larrabee a must-support processor for game developers and would put Larrabee on both the PC and the console maps.
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I believe otherwise, none of the current competitors will leave the market, the market will keep growing and everyone will have their share in the market like the current generation of consoles. Remember downloadable content, movie rentals or movies on demand are what these guys are targeting. Having a console sitting by your TV is a way to have the store open 24/7 globally, what else can you ask for?
Companys will lose money to have their console next to your TV.
After reading this I can imagine that in 2011 that MS and Ninty will be battling it out with two completely new consoles, I think w will see a Xbox 720 as described above, and a Wii 2 with Xbox 360 like technology but also laregly focused on the innovation side, that Ninty does best. I also think that SONY won't bring out a new PS4 in 2011 to compete in the next gen battle but instead will reiterate their PS3 with a slim-and-lite version I think SONY still wants to keep their 10 year PS3 life cycle.
I think that SONY will alternatively wait it out and will bring out their PS4 ahead of the competetion, Just short of the 10 year cycle bought not quite late enough that MS or Ninty will want to bring out the next-next gen consoles. That way, SONY will have the upper hand after getting an early launch, much like the 360 did this gen.
This staggered console war will probably continue up until 2020 when something, I don't quite know what, perhaps a unified gaming platform or when one of the companyies quits out of the industry, i dunno; but, something will have to give sooner or later, or much later (more likely).
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